Students showcase “Scenarios for Alberta’s Energy Future” to energy-environment community

Posted on Tue, 01/10/2017 - 06:03

Energy systems are under intense pressure to change. Society wants major reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, while retaining the benefits that energy systems provide to our quality of life.

Understanding the technologies and policies needed to achieve these objectives can benefit from technology-rich, scenario modelling of energy futures. CESAR has been developing and using the database resources, modelling approaches and visualization tools to explore various energy futures. We are excited about the value of this work to policy and investment decision making.

CESAR researchers have also been involved in training a new generation of scientists and engineers in energy systems analysis and modelling. In the fall of 2016, 50 students registered in Scie529, the capstone course for the energy specialization at the University of Calgary. They worked in interdisciplinary teams to explore 10 different energy futures. Their work culminated in a poster session in downtown Calgary that attracted more than 120 industry, government and environmental NGO representatives. Mark Lowey from EnviroLine, who is a communications advisor to CESAR, was there and wrote about the special event. I asked him to share that report with us in this CESAR blog.

David Layzell, Director, CESAR

By Mark Lowey

University of Calgary students are winning praise and admiration from the energy-environment community for their research on energy systems change and ways to significantly reduce Alberta’s greenhouse gas emissions.

Fifty students showcased their research projects at a special event held at the university’s Downtown Campus in December, 2016.

Organized by Canadian Energy Systems Analysis Research (CESAR) Initiative, the third annual “Scenarios for Alberta’s Energy Future” event attracted more than 120 people. It was jointly sponsored by the University of Calgary, CESAR and the Energy Futures Lab, an Alberta-based, multi-interest collaboration designed to accelerate the development of “fit for the future” energy systems.

Data resources for the student projects were contributed by CESAR using, in many cases, data extracted from CanESS (Canadian Energy Systems Simulator), a technology-rich, economy-wide energy systems model developed by whatIf? Technologies Inc., Ottawa, ON.

The natural science and engineering students, in their final year of undergraduate studies, presented research posters under the theme, “Scenarios for Alberta’s Energy Future.” The students are enrolled in the Scie529 capstone project course in sustainable energy, environment and economy – part of the Energy Sciences Concentration in the Natural Sciences Program in the Faculty of Science at the University of Calgary.

Ten posters, each created by an interdisciplinary team of students, resulted from three months of research that included working with professional advisors from government, industry and non-governmental organizations. Each poster summarized the research insights the students gained on topics that encompassed:

  • generating clean energy from heat recovery in oil sands operations;
  • geothermal potential in Alberta;
  • cement plant carbon capture and electricity production;
  • making fuel from biomass residues;
  • decarbonizing freight transport;
  • natural gas combined heat and power for home heating;
  • reducing home heating emissions;
  • impacts of electrifying transportation;
  • autonomous vehicles; and
  • transforming energy demand through high-density community lifestyles.

“Despite having only three months to take a project from concept to final report – and considering that most students were also juggling four or five other courses – the teams were able to generate valuable insights regarding possible energy transition pathways in Alberta,” says David Layzell, course instructor and CESAR’s director.

“By combining published techno-economic and environment assessments of specific technologies with insights from talented subject matter experts, the scenario modelling approach used by the students provides a powerful tool to generate a window on the costs, benefits and tradeoffs associated with possible energy futures,” he notes.

“Decision makers need to make better use of these ‘evidence-based’ tools when setting climate change targets or when developing and implementing policy and investment strategies to meet those targets,” Layzell says.

Diversity, quality of research topics impress

The students’ work got kudos both from University of Calgary attendees as well as those from the external community.

“The Faculty of Science values opportunities for multidisciplinary research and high impact learning experiences for or students. As well, we value relevance and excellence,” said Eric Donovan, an associate professor in the Department of Physics and Astronomy and Associate Dean (Research) at the University of Calgary.

“At the CESAR poster event, I found all four of these key ingredients. I was so impressed by the students and the quality of their work, and by the fact that in working on a multidisciplinary problem that represents a real challenge for our local and global community, they experienced a memorable learning experience.”

Erin Romanchuk, an associate at The Natural Step Canada, said the Energy Futures Lab (EFL), which is one of The Natural Step’s five sustainability transition labs, was pleased to support the event. The EFL is exploring what the transition to a more future-fit energy system for Alberta looks like, so the students’ research is a good resource for the EFL’s work, she said.

Erin Romanchuk

“It helps to engage in conversation on possibilities for the future, and offers the opportunity to see innovative ideas presented in a comprehensive manner,” Romanchuk added.

Song Sit, principal at GHG Reduction Consultancy in Calgary and a senior associate at CESAR, co-instructed the Scie529 capstone course, along with David Layzell, CESAR’s director, and Bastiaan Straatman, energy systems modeler at CESAR.

Sit, who worked for two decades in the oil sands industry, said a student team’s poster on recovering heat and generating clean energy at steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) oil sands operations “should be of particular interest to SAGD producers because it represents energy that they could recover for use on site, and that would save them some money.”

(L to R) Eric Waidson, Sarjana Amin, Thomas Zhao, Trevor Pickett, Keean Bexte

The team’s study found that after six years of a reference-case SAGD operation, about 50 per cent of injected heat is left in the underground reservoir. By injecting water into the heated area, 25 per cent of the injected heat could be recovered via produced hot water, which could be harnessed with the Organic Rankine Cycle (ORG) to produce GHG-free electricity to offset net carbon emissions on Alberta’s electrical grid.

The ORG is a thermodynamic process where heat is transferred to a fluid at a constant pressure. The fluid is vaporized and then expanded in a vapour turbine that drives a generator, producing electricity. The spent vapor is condensed to liquid and recycled back through the cycle.

The team concluded that electricity generated from depleted SAGD heat recovery can reduce emissions associated with electricity use in the SAGD sector by up to 28 per cent. “However, the technology will be held back by its high cost of implementation, possibly requiring that a heat recovery plan becomes a requirement for approval for new SAGD operations,” the team said.

Kudos from energy-environment professionals

Anouk Kendall, president of Decentralised Energy Canada (DEC), said the University of Calgary is DEC’s newest member and she wanted to check out the students’ work related directly and indirectly to decentralized energy.

“I was impressed with the diversity of the research topics and the quality of industry professionals gathered in the room. The event will have provided students with excellent industry connections as they further develop their career goals. Well done!” Kendall said.

Matt Beck, of Calgary-based Imagenia Energy, said he works on issues involving energy systems transformation every day, and he welcomed “a rare opportunity when we get to come together and see so many engaging students testing their ideas for system interventions for a better energy future. “

“You could tell the students put a lot of work into their posters, and many insights were gained into Alberta's energy system,” Beck said. “I hope the students are now able to take the constructive criticism they have received at the session and use it to inform future work.

Even though Canada is blessed with an abundance of energy resources, “the vast majority of people don’t know how the energy systems work,” said Peter MacConnachie, sustainability issues manager at Suncor Energy. “So it’s really great the work that CESAR does, especially with these students.”

Regina Krohn, a post-doctoral researcher in the Faculty of Veterinary Medicine’s Department of Ecosystem and Public Health at the University of Calgary, said she enjoyed hearing about ideas to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in Alberta, which she noted is highly dependent on fossil fuels.

“It’s interesting and actually very helpful to see the change in the younger generation to take on this challenge. I saw some good proposals,” Krohn said.

Ralph Torrie, president of Ontario-based Torrie Smith Associates Inc. and a senior associate at CESAR, said the idea of presenting the students’ work to the external community – “including the very interested community like the oil and gas industry and the government” – is “brilliant.”

Ralph Torrie talks with student Laura Beattie about the team’s poster

“You can see the way these students love to talk about their projects. You can see the way it boosts their confidence to see how interested people are. They’re making connections that hopefully will work out for them in the future in terms of finding ways in to the industries that need them,” Torrie said.

Jason Donev, senior instructor in the Faculty of Science’s Department of Physics and Astronomy at the University of Calgary, said he has attended every Scie529 poster event, “and they never cease to amaze me.”

For students, the event helps them find jobs, Donev said, “and it gets them to actually have some conversations with people in downtown Calgary. They network a lot and they also get a very different perspective.”

Students learned from both the classroom course and the poster event

(L to R): Mike Sun, Syed Hasan, Monika Kang, Joshua Bijak, Hanna Huang

Joshua Bijak is spokesperson for the student team whose project focused on decarbonizing freight transport by using renewable natural gas – produced by a “fast pyrolysis” method – as compressed natural fuel in trucks to reduce GHG emissions. He said team members learned a lot from the Scie529 course about energy systems modelling and examining energy systems on a large scale.

“Our particular project involved deep understanding of the freight trucking industry in Alberta. Given the complexity involved with these models, we feel that we learned a great deal about the intricacies of a giant industry such as freight shipping,” said Bijak, who’s in fourth-year electrical engineering.

The team concluded that using renewable natural gas to power compressed natural gas trucks has the potential to reduce GHG emissions by 23.8 and 29.1 million tonnes CO2e by 2080, depending on which process is used to produce renewable natural gas.

As for the poster event, “the wealth of expertise that came to see our undergraduate research was both impressive and at times overwhelming. It provided a lot of validation to many of the assumptions we made for our study and in some cases showed that our model was, in fact, within the realm of possibility,” Bijak said.

Mehrad Motiel, spokesperson for the student team whose project investigated autonomous vehicles, said the Scie529 course enabled students “to see what it’s like in the real world, working with people who have different strengths to reach a final result . . . This course really helped expand students’ thinking about what goes on behind the scenes in Canada’s energy system to make something as simple as turning on a light switch possible.”

(L to R) Jill Colquhoun, Robert Nguyen, Kyle McElheran, Mehrad Motei, Jacob Webb

The team’s project evaluated the possible effects that fully autonomous vehicles, requiring only destination input, would have on the 8.11 million tonnes of CO2e emissions per year from personal vehicles.

The students found that under a “consumer-driven” scenario that focuses on convenience for consumers and personal ownership, the use of autonomous vehicles could result in an increase of up to 5.8 Mt per year CO2e, or a 72.6-per-cent increase, by 2060.

However, under an “environmentally driven” scenario that prioritizes in making choices to minimize emissions, there could be a decrease by as much as 6.3 Mt CO2e per year, or 87.1 per cent, by 2060. The team concluded that policies are needed in Alberta to encourage the environmentally driven scenario, including a push for “right-sized” vehicles, discouraging long commutes, and encouraging use of electric vehicles.

Presenting their poster to “many experts from all over Calgary ... was a professional experience that allowed students to better connect with and learn from experts in industry,” said Motiel, who’s in fourth-year natural sciences. “It also helped showcase to the public how capable undergraduates are in analyzing data and solving real- world problems.”

Cooper Husband is spokesperson for the team that investigated reducing cement plant emissions using molten carbonate fuel cells. He says “a major lesson” from the Scie529 course “was how much is needed to reach Canada’s climate change goals and what factors, such as government policy and public interest, will dictate change.”

(L to R) Changyu (Chad) Jung, Kyle Lemna, Qi (Jeff) Jiang, Kaitlyn Wong, Cooper Husband

The team’s project found that in 2016, the Alberta cement industry produced approximately 1.7 million tonnes of cement, resulting in 1.7 Mt of CO2e emissions. They proposed implementing molten carbonate fuel cells (MCFCs) into cement plants to capture a significant amount of carbon dioxide and also produce electricity. In their project, MCFCs reduced up to 2.43 Mt of CO2e emissions by 2060, while generating enough power to run the plants and export green electricity to the public grid.

However, from an economics standpoint, 2020 is too early for MCFCs to be implemented, and after 2036 the technology will likely become “a more feasible carbon capture solution,” especially if encouraged by new policies for the production of low-emission cement.

“The public response made the poster presentation very worthwhile,” says Husband, who’s in fourth-year civil engineering. “Learning from experts how this technology could affect other industries expanded the team’s knowledge and understanding of the technology itself and Alberta’s energy systems.”

Reducing emissions from the home and personal transportation

Blake Evans is spokesperson for the student team whose project investigated five ways to reduce home heating emissions by 95 per cent, including: electrification of home heating; building envelop upgrades; electrical grid greening; retrofits; and increased home turnover rate. The Scie529 course “really helped round out [our] interdisciplinary skills, as well as experience long-term projects, which is often hard to do in a regular class,” he said.

(L to R): Nicholas Falconer, Derek Staudt, Najee Elbaroudi, Cody Webber, Blake Evans

“The best part about this course and one of its most essential components is that each project’s subject matter was unique and current,” added Evans, who’s in fourth-year mechanical engineering. “There were no pipe dreams or projects that felt like they were pulled out of textbook theory. Every project was about current problems we were facing, and it made them feel that much more grounded and real.”

The team concluded that with current technology, it is possible to achieve a 95-per-cent reduction in GHG emissions from home heating – from 10.9 million tonnes CO2e projected in 2060 to 0.9 Mt CO2e, but only when combining multiple actions from different sectors.

Evans said the poster event “really gave all the teams an opportunity to ‘sell’ their ideas to people ... That kind of exposure prepares you for more real-world reactions to our ideas.”

Another team’s project also looked at reducing energy demand in homes, through using natural gas-fuelled micro-combined heat and power (CHP) systems. Team spokesperson Dylan Peterson says the Scie529 course “provided us with a unique opportunity to learn about energy production and consumption, through our own work as opposed to the work of others.”

The team determined that Alberta homes produced 12.9 million tonnes of CO2e in 2016, “in part due to our inefficient electrical grid.” They found that micro-CHP systems could reduce annual home emissions by 38 per cent in 2016 and by 10 per cent in 2060. However, due to slow implementation, the technology would have a negligible impact on Alberta’s grid for the next 20 years. The high cost of a micro-CHP unit – approximately $5,500 – was a concern.

(L to R) Brennan Dressler, Tyler Stehr, Jonathan Van Heyst, Dylan Peterson, Chris Shannon

By 2060, implementing mico-CHP in Alberta’s single detached dwellings could reduce annual household emissions by 1.1 Mt CO2e, the team found. The technology also could produce enough energy in about 1 million dwellings to supply 17 per cent of Alberta’s public electricity demand. However, the team concluded that micro-CHP technology “lacks the magnitude in emission reduction needed to be part of a transformative energy systems strategy.”

“The poster presentation was a culmination of the whole course, and all of our hard work, and allowed us to show off our project to academic and industry professionals . . . we felt it made the course more involved and meaningful,” says Peterson, who’s in fourth-year civil engineering.

Mariam Bello is spokesperson for the team that looked at the impact on greenhouse gas emissions if the millennial generation lived high-density community lifestyles. She says one of the most important things she learned during the Scie529 course is that there is no “magic bullet solution to the complex problem of climate change,” and a combination of green technologies, processes and initiatives will be required. The course gave the team with various academic backgrounds experience with modelling processes, and “taught us how to formulate reasonable assumptions and how to work with historical data in order to make realistic possible projections,” she says.

(L to R) Ronald Branchaud, Anneli Zalazar, Jennifer Lee, Mariam Bello, Nathan Fergus

The team’s project assessed the impact of a lifestyle within communities that combined high-density, mixed land use with better public transit connectivity. They found that there is a potential total reduction of 8.4 million tonnes of CO2e by 2060 associated with a move toward high-density living. With personal transportation, the most significant effect was from reducing the average trip length. Reducing house size was key in decreasing overall home heating demand and CO2e emissions. To encourage these “positive energy trends,” the team suggested subsidizing high-density living, improving public transit, developing infrastructure for families living in such communities, and communicating this information to millennials.

Bello, who’s in fourth-year civil engineering, says it was “very exciting” to talk to the industry and community members during the team’s poster presentation. She says the event “helped our team to make meaningful connections with members of the community as well as obtain the experience of presenting and defending our semester-long work in a public setting.”

Click here to read a story on the poster event by the Daily Oil Bulletin.

CESAR, established in 2013, is an initiative to encourage and communicate research and critical analysis around the transformation of Canada’s energy systems. CESAR’s primary goals are to elevate the conversation across Canada around energy systems choices, and to inform policy and investment decisions on transforming Canada’s energy systems toward sustainability. CESAR builds data resources and visualization tools, analyzes past energy systems and models energy future.

The Natural Sciences Program in the University of Calgary’s Faculty of Science is a place for students to discover their interests and develop their talents through critical thinking and effective communications in a multidisciplinary setting.

Pictures from the event

Click on the thumbnails to enlarge the picture.


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